I put together a listing presentation for a seller in beautiful Panorama Hills today and noticed some interesting trends moving forward. At the time I wrote this, there were 80 homes for sale in Panorama Hills.
From January to the end of May there were 137 sales in the community and
a whopping 36 (26%) were sold in May. So far in June there have been six firm
sales and there are 11 homes that have been posted as conditional sales. These
are all great indicators for us as a seller, it would certainly seem that the market
is in an upward trend.
Let’s look a little deeper at both the inventory as well as
sales so far this year. Of the homes that are currently active in the
community, 36% have been on for less than a month. 28% of the active listings
have been on the market for between one and two months and 31% have been on the
market over two months. It is interesting to see that so many homes have been
on the market for such a long period of time as we have seen an average of just
over 27 sales per month, pointing toward a fairly balanced market in Panorama
Hills. It would seem to me that a good portion of those homes that have been on
the market for such a significant amount of time need some major changes in
their listing strategy to get the job done.
It is also interesting to
point out the price breaks in relation to actual sales and active listings.
So far this year 32%
of the sales were under $450k whereas only 12% of the listings
are in that category;
27% of the sales were between $450k and $500k and
only 16% of the listings are within this range;
41% of the sales were over $500k and now over
70% of the listings are asking for this price range!
With the numbers becoming so far apart between what a seller
would like to sell for, and what the typical buyer is looking for in the
community, we could be in for some very interesting times! If the buyers cannot
afford any more than the previous sales are showing – perhaps they cannot
qualify for the higher mortgage – we can only expect one thing… homes will stay
on the market longer and longer, and eventually we will see pricing slowly move
back to the ranges we have seen in the early part of the year. Alternatively,
buyers may need to re-qualify for a larger mortgage or find more cash to put
toward a purchase. In my experience, finding additional cash to close is quite
difficult, and unless mortgage regulations are altered, finding that higher
mortgage limit will also be difficult. It will definitely be interesting what
the rest of the year has in store for us!
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